Can Mozambique Become The ‘Qatar Of Africa’?

Via The Fringe, a quick look at Mozambique’s LNG-fueled economic potential:

Five years ago, the mining conglomerate Rio Tinto invested over US$ 3 billion into an enormous coal project in Mozambique’s Tete province.  A veritable ‘coal rush’ ensued, with residential properties in this otherwise remote region selling for millions.  When Rio wrote down their entire investment at a loss last year, many believed that the country’s reputation as an investor-friendly destination was under threat.

Now the country is in the throes of a new frenzy – however this time, the excitement is being directed offshore.  Recent discoveries indicate that Mozambique is on track to become one of the world’s largest exporters of liquefied natural gas (LNG) – potentially surpassing Qatar, the model for aspiring petro-states everywhere.. Decisions made by the country’s state oil company, Empresa Nacional de Hidrocarbonetos (ENH), over the next few months could trigger as much as $100 billion in new investment.

 In what appears to be early preparations, on August 11th it was announced that several high-profile government figures were sacked, including the chairmen of both ENH and the oil/gas industry regulator, the Instituto Nacional de Petroleo. The newly anointed ENH chairman hails from Cabo Delgado, the same coastal province as newly-elected President Filipe Nyusi.  Coincidentally, Cabo Delgado is also where reserves of 50 to 70 trillion cubic feet of LNG have been found and therefore has become the focal point of Mozambique’s energy projects. How these resources are managed could determine whether Mozambique becomes the next Qatar – or the next Angola.



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WILDCATS AND BLACK SHEEP
Wildcats & Black Sheep is a personal interest blog dedicated to the identification and evaluation of maverick investment opportunities arising in frontier - and, what some may consider to be, “rogue” or “black sheep” - markets around the world.

Focusing primarily on The New Seven Sisters - the largely state owned petroleum companies from the emerging world that have become key players in the oil & gas industry as identified by Carola Hoyos, Chief Energy Correspondent for The Financial Times - but spanning other nascent opportunities around the globe that may hold potential in the years ahead, Wildcats & Black Sheep is a place for the adventurous to contemplate & evaluate the emerging markets of tomorrow.