Via Emerging Markets Insights, a look at African economic growth rates in the past month and a likely forecast ahead:
Relatively high commodity prices are supporting government spending plans for most oil and gas exporters in the Middle East and Africa. If rising tensions involving Iran and Israel turns into a conflict, then commodities prices will climb to much higher levels and stoke inflation regionally. Import-dependent economies in East Africa, North Africa, and the Middle East are particularly vulnerable to commodity price spikes that undermine consumer spending power and make it difficult for SMEs to meet their financial obligations
Algeria: The export-oriented economy is exposed to eurozone volatility due to trade with European markets
Angola: Massive oil diversification budget spending continues this year, which means more opportunities for consumer goods and healthcare MNCs
Egypt: The country’s economy remains on the brink, though investors are hopeful that an IMF deal will provide short-term relief
Ghana: The economy remains strong due to government spending and natural resource riches, though new tax policies are a concern for investors
Iran: The local environment is increasingly precarious due to a combination of economic distress and covert military activity
Iraq: The country’s short- and long-term growth outlooks are positive, supported by increased oil production capacity and elevated global prices
Israel: Apple’s commitment to the Israeli technology sector demonstrates the attractiveness of the country’s tech industry right now
Kenya: Parliament’s bid to unseat the head of the central bank head is only the latest example of domestic political discord
Morocco: Government spending keeps growth positive, but the eurozone casts a long shadow as a fall in remittances impact Moroccans
Nigeria: Strong growth will not be derailed, though inflation and security risks pose challenges to the economy
Saudi Arabia: Economic fundamentals underpin a strong outlook, though MNCs should monitor regional tensions
South Africa: The budget offers opportunities for investment and tax relief to citizens, though alcohol and tobacco tax hikes will sting some MNCs
Tanzania: Inflationary growth continues to place pressure on consumers and the economy
UAE: Tighter Iran sanctions will benefit the UAE through increased oil demand, but a critical trade relationship will suffer