Foreign Investors Flock To Iran As U.S. Firms Watch On The Sidelines

Courtesy of the Wall Street Journal, a report on how European firms have jumped in on post-sanction deals, while American companies remain wary:

After years shunning Iran, Western businesses are bursting through the country’s doors—but U.S. companies are noticeably absent.

Dozens of development projects and deals have been hammered out since Iran’s nuclear accord with world powers in 2015 lifted a range of sanctions. Among them, France’s Peugeot and Renault SA are building cars. The U.K.’s Vodafone Group PLC is teaming up with an Iranian firm to build up network infrastructure. Major oil companies including Royal Dutch Shell PLC have signed provisional agreements to develop energy resources. And infrastructure giants, including Germany’s Siemens AG, have entered into agreements for large projects.

Chicago-based Boeing Co. last year got the go-ahead to sell 80 aircraft valued at $16.6 billion to Iran. But for the most part, deals involving U.S. businesses are few and far between.

Two of the world’s biggest auto makers, Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co., have steered clear of Iran since the nuclear accord. A Ford spokeswoman said the company was complying with U.S. law and didn’t have any business with Iran. GM is focusing “on other markets, and other opportunities,” spokesman Tony Cervone said.

Peugeot has taken notice. Its Middle East chief, Jean-Christophe Quémard, said Peugeot’s early entry has left U.S. rivals in the dust. “This is our opportunity to accelerate,” he said last month.

U.S. companies are at risk of losing lucrative deals to early movers into a promising market of 80 million people, analysts say, setting off skirmishes among European and Asian companies eager to gain an edge on more-cautious U.S. competitors. But as latecomers, U.S. companies likely won’t face a learning curve in dealing with the political risks and the bureaucratic difficulties in Iran.

Apple Inc. explored entering the country after the Obama administration allowed the export of personal-communications devices in 2013, according to people familiar with the matter. But the company decided against it because of banking and legal problems, the people said. Apple declined to comment.

U.S. companies usually need special permission from the Treasury Department to do business with Iran. Further complicating matters for U.S. companies: President Donald Trump during his campaign threatened to rip up Iran’s nuclear deal, and he hit the country with new sanctions shortly after taking office. On Sunday, Iran imposed its own sanctions on 15 U.S. companies, mainly defense firms.

The nuclear deal removed a range of U.S., European Union and United Nations sanctions in 2016 that had held back Iranian energy exports and put the brakes on foreign investment. In exchange, Tehran agreed to curbs on its nuclear program. But while food, medicine and agricultural products are exempted from U.S. restrictions, U.S. products are available in Iran often only through foreign subsidiaries or third-party importers.

Peugeot, officially known as Groupe PSA SA, is aiming to hit annual production of 200,000 cars in Iran by next year in conjunction with its partner Iran Khodro, after the two signed a €400 million ($432 million) joint-venture agreement in June. Already, the pace of both Peugeot’s and Renault’s car sales in Iran has more than doubled. In February, Renault sold 15,230 vehicles in Iran, up 175% from a year earlier.

Asian companies, mainly Chinese ones, have had a growing presence in Iran even as the country was under sanctions. Some have stepped up activities since the nuclear deal, including China National Petroleum Corp., which joined France’s Total SA in a preliminary agreement to develop a major Iranian gas field in November.

On a recent visit in Tehran’s biggest hotels, lobbies were full of foreigners huddling with prospective Iranian partners. A packed automotive conference in February drew top executives from Peugeot, Renault and Citroën. The same day, the Swedish prime minister was visiting a Scania truck factory west of the capital after the company’s deal to supply Iran with 1,350 buses.

Iran has caught the attention of a broad spectrum of investors beyond autos, with foreign companies selling everything from gas-powered turbines to mining technologies in the country.

Government-approved foreign direct investment shot up to more than $11 billion last year, official figures show, from $1.26 billion in 2015. Pedram Soltani, the vice president of Iran’s Chamber of Commerce, said more than 200 foreign business delegations have visited Iran since the nuclear deal took effect.

“We see what’s happening in the U.S. and Mr. Trump’s comments,” said Ghadir Ghiafe, an Iranian steel-industry executive who is exploring partnerships with South American and European companies. “Our businessmen don’t pay much attention to it.”

Foreign companies still face daunting obstacles to doing business in Iran. Iran placed 131st out of 176 countries for corruption in a ranking by Transparency International last year. It also has major economic problems, including high unemployment and a banking system saddled with bad loans.

Large international banks remain reluctant to re-establish links with Iran despite the nuclear deal. That reluctance has made transfers of money into and out of Iran a challenge.

Western banks such as Standard Chartered PLC, BNP Paribas SA and Credit Suisse Group AG have generally refused to handle transactions to Iran for fear of being fined for running afoul of banking sanctions that remain. Chinese and smaller European banks have attempted to step into the breach, even though many companies remain concerned about the regulatory environment.

OPEN FOR BUSINESS

A sampling of major deals signed by Iran with foreign partners since the nuclear deal:

  • January 2016: France’s Peugeot and local auto maker Iran Khodro sign a €400 million joint-venture pact, aiming to produce 200,000 cars annually.
  • March 2016: Germany’s Siemens AG joins Iranian infrastructure group Mapna to transfer technology for the production of Siemens gas turbines.
  • September 2016: France’s Renault SA teams up with the Industrial Development and Renovation Organization of Iran to expand local manufacturing capacity.
  • October 2016: French auto maker Citroën agrees to a more than €300 million deal with Iran’s SAIPA to produce cars starting in 2018.
  • November 2016: France’s Total SA and China National Petroleum Corp. sign $4.8 billion gas development deal.
  • December 2016: Royal Dutch Shell Plc agrees to evaluate the production potential of three oil and gas fields in Iran.
  • December 2016: Iran agrees to purchase 80 Boeing Co. planes worth $16.6 billion at list price.
  • December 2016: Europe’s Airbus agrees to sell 100 planes to Iran valued at more than $18 billion.

Some smaller European asset managers have teamed with partners in Iran to launch stock and private-equity funds pitched to foreign investors. Charlemagne Capital, for example, a U.K.-based manager that specializes in emerging and frontier markets, joined Iran’s Turquoise Capital last April to launch Iran-focused funds. American brokers and asset managers have stayed away from the market, however.

Some large multinationals—including infrastructure giants and major oil companies—are keeping a close eye on the U.S. and its new president, in case sanctions snap back into place. Shell, Total SA and OMV AG of Austria have signed memorandums of understanding for deals in Iran but have yet to complete terms.

Last month, Total Chief Executive Patrick Pouyanné said the company would wait for clarity from the Trump administration before completing a $4.8 billion investment in the country’s South Pars offshore gas field.

But many foreign companies are finding the country’s growth hard to ignore.

The International Monetary Fund recently estimated the economy grew 7.4% in the first half of the Iranian fiscal year that ended this month, rebounding from a decline in the previous year. Meanwhile, a surge in demand has pushed consumer spending in Tehran to $5,240 per capita so far in 2017, up about 11% compared with 2016, according to Planet Retail, a London research firm.

The upshot is even if there is demand to buy American, much of Iran’s market is left to European and Asian companies.

“The market is now more diverse with Chinese cars and we realize how important it is to have satisfied customers,” said Mohsen Karimi, a sales manager at Iran Khodro, a domestic auto manufacturer that has a partnership with Peugeot. Khodro had sold out its stock of cars this past year, and was now behind delivery targets for advance sales, Mr. Karimi added.

Like many Tehran residents, Alireza Aniseh wanted his first car to stand out in a streetscape filled with boxy Iranian models. The 24-year-old said he is leaning toward buying a Toyota Corolla or Camry, but his dream is owning a Ford Focus.



This entry was posted on Monday, March 27th, 2017 at 3:30 pm and is filed under Iran.  You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.  Both comments and pings are currently closed. 

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