OPEC Eyes Namibia For Possible Membership As Oil Production Looms

Via Africa Business Insider, an article on how the OPEC+ oil producers coalition, having seen departures like Angola in recent times, is considering Namibia for potential membership:

  • The OPEC+ oil producers coalition, having seen departures like Angola in recent times, is considering Namibia for potential membership.

  • TotalEnergies and Shell have found around 2.6 billion barrels of oil, getting Namibia ready to start producing by 2030.

  • Based on the existing discoveries, Namibia is looking at 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) of peak production capacity by the next decade.

This move comes as Namibia gears up to potentially become Africa’s fourth-largest oil producer by the next decade, according to an African industry official.

In recent years, TotalEnergies and Shell have found around 2.6 billion barrels of oil, getting Namibia ready to start producing by 2030, Reuters reported.

In the long run, OPEC, along with Russia and other members of OPEC+, aims to have Namibia as a full member, NJ Ayuk, executive chairman of the African Energy Chamber stated, adding that his organization has been helping facilitate discussions between the two parties.

In February, OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al Ghais mentioned that OPEC was in discussions with several countries about joining the charter, although he didn’t specify which ones.

OPEC in a tweet at the time said Al Ghais met Namibian Minister of Mines and Energy Tom Alweendo at a conference in Nigeria where the prospect of OPEC and Namibia working together “under the umbrella of the charter of cooperation” was raised.

Last year, Namibian Petroleum Commissioner Maggy Shino expressed interest in joining the OPEC “family,” as reported by S&P Commodity Insights.

However, in March, Minister Alweendo said OPEC membership was not currently under consideration.

“We haven’t been approached by anyone to join OPEC. OPEC members are petroleum exporting countries and we are not there yet,” he said. “That is a consideration only after we have started to produce.”

Discussions between OPEC and the Namibian government are expected to resume in late April.

Angola, which joined OPEC in 2007, produces about 1.1 million barrels per day, compared with 28 million bpd for the whole group. Before the country’s exit, Angola was unable to meet its OPEC+ output quota because of declining investment.

With Angola’s exit from OPEC, the organization now comprises 12 members, maintaining a crude oil production of about 27 million barrels per day (bpd), some 27% of the 102 million bpd world oil market.

The departure of Angola continues the trend of diminishing OPEC’s share in the world market, which was at 34% in 2010.

In recent years, about 2.6 billion barrels of oil have been discovered in Namibia, Pranav Joshi of energy consultancy Rystad Energy told Reuters.

Based on the existing discoveries, Namibia is looking at 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) of peak production capacity by the next decade, Joshi estimated.

While this figure is smaller than Angola’s output, Namibia’s production capacity could increase with more successful exploration endeavours.

Smaller oil producers have joined OPEC in recent years. In 2017, Equatorial Guinea became a full member of the organization, and in 2016, Gabon re-joined OPEC. Additionally, Congo attained full membership in OPEC in 2018.



This entry was posted on Sunday, April 21st, 2024 at 11:22 pm and is filed under Namibia.  You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.  Both comments and pings are currently closed. 

Comments are closed.


ABOUT
WILDCATS AND BLACK SHEEP
Wildcats & Black Sheep is a personal interest blog dedicated to the identification and evaluation of maverick investment opportunities arising in frontier - and, what some may consider to be, “rogue” or “black sheep” - markets around the world.

Focusing primarily on The New Seven Sisters - the largely state owned petroleum companies from the emerging world that have become key players in the oil & gas industry as identified by Carola Hoyos, Chief Energy Correspondent for The Financial Times - but spanning other nascent opportunities around the globe that may hold potential in the years ahead, Wildcats & Black Sheep is a place for the adventurous to contemplate & evaluate the emerging markets of tomorrow.