What Are Frontier Markets?

Via The Wall Street Journal, a definition of “frontier” markets:

Most investors know about emerging markets like Mexico or Brazil. Lesser known are the so-called frontier markets such as Argentina, Pakistan, Botswana, Ukraine and Vietnam.

As far as economic development, frontier markets are at the bottom of the heap, says Win Thin, global head of emerging markets at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York. “Typically they are poorer countries, but they are on the way up.”

As frontier economies grow, they may become emerging markets and then eventually developed markets like the U.K. or France.

For investors, which countries are considered frontiers varies with whom you ask. MSCI has 24 countries in its Frontier index, while S&P Dow Jones Indices has 34. Both have a good amount from Africa.

“The attractiveness is that these countries could grow very quickly,” says Mr. Thin. Some investors who “missed the boat” in other hot markets, he says, might have another chance in frontiers. But there are risks: There isn’t much liquidity in the local markets. “It’s easy to get into an investment, but could be impossible to get out if the markets turn against you,” says Mr. Thin.

For individual investors, mutual funds and exchange-traded funds are likely the best bet. Portfolio managers suggest only a small allocation to frontier stocks: in a range of 6% of a portfolio to 10% for more-aggressive investors. The iShares MSCI Frontier 100 (FM) or Templeton Frontier Markets (TFMAX) might be suitable, although there are many other products.



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WILDCATS AND BLACK SHEEP
Wildcats & Black Sheep is a personal interest blog dedicated to the identification and evaluation of maverick investment opportunities arising in frontier - and, what some may consider to be, “rogue” or “black sheep” - markets around the world.

Focusing primarily on The New Seven Sisters - the largely state owned petroleum companies from the emerging world that have become key players in the oil & gas industry as identified by Carola Hoyos, Chief Energy Correspondent for The Financial Times - but spanning other nascent opportunities around the globe that may hold potential in the years ahead, Wildcats & Black Sheep is a place for the adventurous to contemplate & evaluate the emerging markets of tomorrow.